New Prevent Statistics warn of increase in young men becoming fixated on violent extremism | Counter Terrorism Policing

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New Prevent Statistics warn of increase in young men becoming fixated on violent extremism

Counter Terrorism Policing has warned that a rise in the number of boys and young men becoming interested in violent extremism without a clear ideology, on top of low levels of community reporting, show the need for friends and families to Act Early on any signs of radicalisation.

According to new Prevent statistics published by the Home Office, the number of people being supported through the government’s anti-radicalisation programme for concerns related to ‘mixed, unstable or unclear’ ideology has risen significantly for the third consecutive year.

Prevent referrals saw an overall increase of 10% in the year to March 2020, up to 6,287 from 5,737 in the previous financial year, with just 2% (139) coming from friends and family seeking support for a loved one.

Much of that 10% increase was seen in the ‘mixed, unstable or unclear’ ideology category, which represented 51% (3203) of referrals in 2019/20, up from just 11% (696 of 6093) in 2016/17.

After ‘mixed, unstable or unclear’, the most prevalent ideology exhibited by those referred was Islamist (24%), followed closely by right-wing radicalisation (22%).

The majority of referrals were young men, with 72% under the age of 30, and 88% male.

‘Mixed, unstable or unclear’ ideology relates to instances where people exhibit a combination of elements from multiple ideologies (mixed), shift between different ideologies (unstable), or where the individual does not present a coherent ideology, yet may still pose a terrorism risk (unclear).

Specialists at Counter Terrorism Policing (CTP) believe the rise could be a result of two main factors, firstly an improvement in the way statutory partners spot, record and support these types of cases since updated guidance was issued in 2018.
Secondly, the increasing prevalence of hateful extremist content online, with this content causing young or vulnerable people to fixate on violence and other dangerous subject matters.

CTP’s National Prevent Coordinator, Chief Superintendent Nik Adams, said: “One of the reasons for the increase will be the fact that we are getting better at spotting and recording this type of behaviour, which can manifest itself in a number of ways – such as a fascination with all types of extremist or violent content, including school shootings or even extreme misogyny ideologies such as Inceldom.

“But that alone does not account for such a dramatic increase, so we suspect it also relates to the sheer volume of hateful extremist content online, and its ability to reach into the lives of some of the most vulnerable in our society through the internet.

“There are many factors which can make people vulnerable to radicalisation, but we believe social isolation, problems in people’s lives and, in some cases, mental health issues, complex needs and behavioural disorders can contribute – and this is particularly the case in this section of Prevent referrals.”

One further area of concern is the fact that just 2% of referrals came from ‘Family and Friends’ – despite the fact that they are usually the first to spot the worrying behaviour changes which can indicate that a loved one is heading down a path towards radicalisation.
Parents, friends and families can now get specialist support to stop their loved ones being drawn into harmful activities or groups, with the launch of ACT Early  a new dedicated safeguarding website and advice line.

This new resource will provide advice, guidance and support for anyone who is concerned that someone they know may be at risk from being radicalised by terrorists or extremist content online. “With Covid-19 making regular access to schools, social workers and mental health support more difficult, people are spending more time isolated and online, and we are concerned that people who need help are not getting it,” added Chief Superintendent Adams.

“This makes it more important for friends and family to use the new ACT Early resources to understand what might be happening to their loved one, and what support Prevent can provide.

“We need parents, friends and family to help us by acting early, by talking to their children about what they view online, and sharing their concerns or seeking support if they fear someone they know is in danger of being radicalised.

“Asking for help is a difficult and emotional step, but we must see it for what it is – action which won’t ruin their lives but may well save them.”


If you are worried that someone you know is being radicalised, visit

You won’t be wasting our time and you won’t ruin lives, but you might save them.
For help and advice visit, or call the national Police Prevent Advice Line on 0800 011 3764, in confidence, and our specially trained Prevent officers will listen carefully to your concerns.